Submitted Papers

Prior Elicitation in Multiple Change-point Models
With Gary Koop
Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Report, Number 197 December 2004

Re-examining the consumption-wealth relationship: the role of model uncertainty
With Gary Koop and Rodney Strachan
Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Report, Number 202 March 2005

A Flexible Approach to Parametric Inference in Nonlinear Time Series Models
With Gary Koop December 2005

Changes in Labor Force Participation in the United States
With Chinhui Juhn December 2005

Research in Progress

Fluctuations in Confidence and Asymmetric Business Cycles
Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Report, Number 66, February 1999

Forecasting the Frequency of Recessions


Explaining the low US Unemployment rate of the 1990s
With Marcelle Chauvet and Chinhui Juhn


Learning Premia
With Marcelle Chauvet


Pricing with Commitments
With Joseph Ostroy


Measuring the Importance of Nonlinearity over the Business Cycle
Invited lecture at Bernoulli World Congress

Second Order Properties of Generalized Impulse Response Functions


Using a priori Information in the analysis of cointegrated systems


A Nonlinear Model of the Business Cycle
With Marlene Amstad and Edward Leamer


An Episodic Model of the Business Cycle
With Marlene Amstad and Edward Leamer


The Impact of Working Spouses on Cyclical Fluctuations in the Labor Force
Chinhui Juhn

Simon Potter's CV

The views expressed in the papers listed on this page are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the position of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York or the Federal Reserve System.