Completed Manuscripts

The Measurement and Behavior of Uncertainty: Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
With Joseph Song and Joseph Tracy
Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Reports, 588, December 2012 

Early Contract Renegotiation: An Analysis of U.S. Labor Contracts from 1970 to 1995
With Joseph Tracy
Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Reports, 521, October 2011

A Review of Core Inflationand an Evaluation of Its Measures
With Charles Steindel
Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff ReportsNo. 236, December 2005

Modeling Uncertainty: Predictive Accuracy as a Proxy for Predictive Confidence
With Joseph Tracy
Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff ReportsNo. 161, February 2003

Tracking the New Economy: Using Growth Theory to Detect Changes in Trend Productivity
With James A. Kahn
Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff ReportsNo. 159, January 2003

The Linkage between Regional Economic Indexes and Tax Bases: Evidence from New York City
With Robert Rich, Jason Bram, James Orr and Rae Rosen
Review of Economics and StatisticsUnder review

International Evidence on the Costs of Reducing Inflation: Do We Know How Big They Are?
With S. Cecchetti

Changes in Regime and the Behavior of Inflation
With J. Raymond

Structural Change in U.S. Wage Determination
With D. Rissmiller
Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff ReportsNo. 117, March 2001

Evidence on a New Keynesian Theory of the Output-Inflation Trade-off from the U.S.
With W. Rhee

Robert Rich's CV

The views expressed in the papers listed on this page are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the position of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York or the Federal Reserve System.