Business Leaders Survey
A monthly survey of service firms in New York State, northern New Jersey and southwestern Connecticut, conducted by the New York Fed.

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Read this month’s Supplemental Survey Report on debt, cash, and financing; impact of weather on business

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s March 2015 Business Leaders Survey indicates that activity in the region’s service sector remained flat for a second consecutive month. The survey’s headline business activity index was little changed at -0.7. The business climate index fell five points to -13.2, signaling that, on balance, respondents viewed the business climate as worse than normal. The employment index held steady at 15.4, pointing to continued solid gains in employment, and the wages index climbed for a third consecutive month, rising seven points to 41.9, an indication that wage increases picked up. The prices paid index fell ten points to 41.2, pointing to a slower pace of input price increases, while the prices received index climbed six points to 11.9, signifying a faster pace of selling price increases. Although business activity appeared flat over the month, indexes assessing the six-month outlook suggested that firms were very optimistic about future conditions, with the future business activity index reaching a record high.

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Historical Reports ››


Charts of diffusion indexes (past 12 months) PDF

Historical Tables

Diffusion Indexes
txt | csv

Data definitions PDF 2 pages / 10 kb

All Data
txt | csv

Data definitions PDF 2 pages / 10 kb



The Business Leaders Survey is a monthly survey conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York that asks companies across its District – which includes New York State, Northern New Jersey, and Fairfield County, Connecticut – about recent and expected trends in key business indicators. This survey is designed to parallel the Empire State Manufacturing Survey, though it covers a wider geography and the questions are slightly different. Participants from the service sector respond to a questionnaire and report on a variety of indicators' both in terms of recent and expected changes. While January 2014 is the first published report, survey responses date back to September of 2004 and all historical data are available on our website.

The survey is sent on the first business day of each month to the same pool of about 150 business executives, usually the president or CEO, in the region's service sector. In a typical month, about 100 responses are received by around the tenth of the month when the survey closes.

For demonstration only:
Sample survey PDF 3 pages / 44 kb

Respondents come from a wide range of industries outside of the manufacturing sector, with the mix of respondents closely resembling the industry structure of the region.

The survey's headline index, general business activity, is a distinct question posed on the survey (as opposed to a composite of responses to other questions). Currently, no indexes are seasonally adjusted since none of the series exhibits stable seasonal patterns from a statistical perspective.

Contacts
Tech help: nyrsf.webteam@ny.frb.org

Questions about survey/data: richard.deitz@ny.frb.org or (716) 849-5025; jason.bram@ny.frb.org or (212) 720-5651


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