Economic Research

The Effects of Entering and Exiting a Credit Default Swap Index
The bloggers analyze the relationship between a major credit default swap (CDS) index—the CDX.NA.IG index—and its constituents in the context of the roll process. The goal? A better understanding of how the exit of dealers from the single-name CDS market might affect pricing dynamics in the CDS market as a whole.
By Jennie Bai and Or Shachar
Just Released: SCE Credit Access Survey Shows Higher Likelihood of Consumers Applying for Credit
The February 2015 SCE Credit Access survey shows an increase in the average likelihood of consumers applying for credit over the next twelve months for all five credit products; the increase is most pronounced for mortgage refinance requests.
By Luis Armona, Wilbert van der Klaauw, and Basit Zafar
Choosing the Right Policy in Real Time (Why That’s Not Easy)
The bloggers apply their dynamic pools method to consider alternative monetary policies at the onset of the Great Recession.
By Marco Del Negro, Raiden Hasegawa, and Frank Schorfheide
Combining Models for Forecasting and Policy Analysis—First in a Two Part Series
The bloggers introduce a dynamic pools approach to combining models and show how to put more weight on the model that is best at a given point in time.
By Marco Del Negro, Raiden Hasegawa, and Frank Schorfheide
Greenboard with math squiggles for DSGE model artwork
In recent work, economists described the New York Fed’s dynamic stochastic equilibrium model, assessed its forecasting accuracy, and shared source code used for model estimation.
Research Topics in Focus: College grads
Is College Worth It?
Students in recent years have been paying more to attend college and earning less upon graduation—trends that have raised questions about whether a college education remains a good investment. But research from economists Jaison Abel and Richard Deitz finds that the benefits of college still tend to outweigh the costs.
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International Banking Research Network
This New York Fed-hosted microsite describes an initiative of central bank researchers who are engaged in a coordinated study of global banks and their activities internationally.
Recent Articles
Gender Roles and Medical Progress
In the early twentieth century, poor maternal health made it particularly difficult for mothers to engage in market work. However, between 1930 and 1960, there was a remarkable reduction in maternal mortality and morbidity. The authors argue that medical advances, by enabling women to reconcile work and motherhood, were essential for the joint rise in married women’s labor force participation and fertility over this period.
By Stefania Albanesi and Claudia Olivetti, Staff Reports 720, March 2015
The Rescue of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
The authors describe and evaluate the measures taken by the U.S. federal government to rescue Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in September 2008.
By W. Scott Frame, Andreas Fuster, Joseph Tracy, and James Vickery, Staff Reports 719, March 2015
Gender and Dynamic Agency: Theory and Evidence on the Compensation of Top Executives
The authors document three new facts about gender differences in executive compensation: 1) female executives receive lower shares of incentive pay in total compensation relative to males, 2) the compensation of female executives displays lower pay-performance sensitivity, and 3) female executives are more exposed to the bad performance of their firms and less exposed to the firms’ good performance than are male executives.
By Stefania Albanesi, Claudia Olivetti, and María José Prados, Staff Reports 718, March 2015
Challenges in Identifying Interbank Loans
Empirical analyses of the federal funds market often use the so-called “Furfine algorithm” to identify activity in the market at the most disaggregated level—individual loans between two specific banks. However, a formal test of the accuracy of the algorithm in identifying fed funds transactions shows that the algorithm may be ill-suited to this task.
By Olivier Armantier and Adam Copeland, Economic Policy Review, March 2015
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